- The key to any progress anywhere was near-term progress on Israel-Palestine.
- Near-term progress on Israel-Palestine was possible because the chief impediment was Israeli intransigence which was itself due to a failure of the Bush Administration to lean on Israel.
- Since Obama was willing to administer much tougher love to Israel and since Israel's concerns could be shown to be exaggerated, the Israeli "impediment" could be quickly lifted and progress quickly achieved.
- Bush's preoccupation with democracy was naïve and thoroughly discredited by Iraq and so nothing was likely to happen on that front in the region, perhaps for a generation but for sure until Obama had made progress on the Israel-Palestine issue.citation
Here's a dirty little secret for you. Mubarak is out. After that, who the hell is in the Government? Salafists, the Muslim Brotherhood, and the ElBaradei secular leaning crew. We shall see how that bodes for the United States and Israel. Hell Bill, your own writers are seriously comparing this to the 79 Iranian revolution. And you don't even listen! The Middle East has been due for a shakeup for over 200 years.
What makes this kind of panting that Kristol does whenever he discusses the Middle East so disgusting, is that people are dying, and he's just happy that his idea is advancing. And that is some impressive cognitive dissonance in itself. "Iraq was just the beginning, soon the entire Arab world will love us and Israel" What I find funny? A Democratic Middle East will be less inclined towards dealing with Israel constructively. You poll Middle Eastern Arabs on what they want done with Israel, I bet that "Israeli extinction" comes out on top.
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